sxsphinxstack

Projects / Forecast vs. reality

Forecast vs. reality

Use with: build-website. Resume line when done: Built {project_name}, a daily forecast-accuracy study with paired observations — live at {url}

Brief

Same spot, same time, every day: record the temperature at your window next to what the forecast promised for that hour, then chart the gap. It is a paired-measurement study anyone can run with a thermometer and a weather app, and the result is a page about how much to trust your local forecast.

Personalize

Milestones

  1. Set up the station and the log: date, forecast (with capture time), observed reading, conditions.
  2. Collect daily; screenshot each forecast when you capture it. Missed days get logged as missed.
  3. Structure the log into one data file; compute the daily gap.
  4. Chart forecast and observed as two lines, plus the gap, axes labeled with units.
  5. Publish: charts, full table, and a written conclusion covering average gap, worst miss, and why your window is not a weather station.

Done means